Naidu said during the Question
Hour that various measures are being taken to improve public transport
and parking spaces in various cities.
In the current fiscal
till November, the Ministry spend Rs 7,636.98 crore for metro rail
projects in the national capital and five states -- Tamil Nadu,
Karnataka, Maharashtra, Kerala and Gujarat, he said.
For Delhi,
the expenditure stood at Rs 4,160.82 crore and for the project in
Chennai, it touched Rs 1,773.59 crore, the Minister said.
He said the Ministry's expenses towards Bangalore project (Karnataka) stood at Rs 857.97 crore.
For the metro rail projects in Kochi (Kerala) and Ahmedabad (Gujarat),
the expenditure till November stood at Rs 599.08 crore and Rs 100 crore,
respectively
In Maharashtra, there are metro rail projects in Mumbai and Nagpur. For
Mumbai project, an expenditure of Rs 108.52 crore has been incurred by
the Ministry till this November, while for the Nagpur project, the
expense stood at Rs 37 crore during the same period.
According to the Minister, metro rail projects are implemented in partnership with the states.
To a query about the fourth phase of Delhi Metro Rail project, Naidu said the proposal is pending with the Delhi government.
After
witnessing sliding profits over the past three years, the residential
real estate market is in desperate need of a stimulus to revive the
sector.
While the government’s decision to relax the foreign direct
investment norms in real estate last month is expected to play a
critical role in addressing the concerns on the supply side, the
recommendations of the Seventh Central Pay Commission is being termed a
potential game changer on the demand side. The pay panel proposes a
hefty salary and pension hike for Central government employees and
pensioners.
According to experts, with the real estate market burdened with a
large volume unsold inventory, just removing the supply-side bottlenecks
won’t help as the lack of demand will keep the markets under pressure.
However, the demand might witness a surge as a higher disposable income
in the hands of a substantial chunk of the population might just
motivate investment in residential property.
A report prepared by Neelkanth Mishra, Prateek Singh and Ravi Shankar
of Credit Suisse says that the Pay Commission recommendations will have
a significant impact on the real estate cycle in small towns as more
than 80 per cent of Central government employees reside in tier II, III
cities.
The Pay Commission boost
The report analysing the impact of the recommendations point out that
as state governments and Central PSUs follow through the CPC
(recommended hike of 23.6 per cent) proposals, almost 3.4 crore
individuals (employees and pensioners) will witness increase in their
incomes. The housing and transportation sectors will be the biggest
beneficiaries of the rise in income and spending capacity of government
employees.
“Altogether
around 80 per cent of the beneficiaries would see an increase of less
than Rs10,000 per month and account for 50 per cent of the payout. The
rest would get around Rs 24,000 more every month on an average,” said
the report.
According to Credit Suisse, out of the total state and central
employees, the 6O lakh, who will see around Rs 24,000 salary increase
per month, are likely to be instrumental in lifting the housing sector
demand.
The National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO) classifies the
country’s population into 12 classes (fractiles) demarcated by monthly
per capita income.
The report states that while spending on food and transportation goes
up the most when disposable incomes rise for those between the 10th and
11th fractiles, it also pointed to the fact that as households move
from the 11th to the 12th fractile (8.3 per cent of households), the
spend on rent rises 3.1 times and there is a similar impact on home
ownership too.
“Most of this impact is likely in the smaller cities (only 20 per
cent of central government employment is in the tier I cities). The Pay
Commission recommendation, in our view, is an important milestone in the
real-estate cycle in the smaller towns, recent weakness was likely the
effect of the last pay commission fading,” said the Credit Suisse
report.
While the Centre may take six months in implementing the
recommendations, a 3-5 per cent higher increase than recommended would
take the hike in the comprehensive wage bill to Rs 4.5-4.8 lakh crore
which is expected to be spread over a period of two years starting from
June 2016 as states and Central PSUs take their decisions. “We estimate
75 per cent of the increase should occur in FY17, and the rest in FY18,”
said the report.
While the report says that impact on housing and real estate will be
substantial and lift demand, there are some who feel that the benefits
may not be huge.
“I think the Pay Commission recommendations will also be inflationary
so the actual benefit that may come to employees may only be around 10
per cent as against a hike of 23.5 per cent. And if the developers
decide to increase the price then it would be a dampener,” said Samantak
Das, chief economist & national director, Knight Frank India.
The supply side effect
While the government had, in 2005, eased the foreign direct
investment norms for real estate sector and allowed 100 per cent FDI in
townships, housing and built-up infrastructure and construction
developments, it had imposed certain conditions.
However, with ambitious targets like ‘Housing for All’ and Smart
Cities in the pipeline, what the government needs is a thriving real
estate market and thus, in November, the Centre decided to do away with
some of the restrictive conditions.
While the earlier policy required a minimum of 20,000 square meters
of development and a minimum capital of $5 million, the government has
now removed those conditions and it is expected that these will result
into higher investment flow into city-centric developments where the
condition of 20,000 square metres was a dampener.
Along with this, the need to bring in investment within six months of commencement of the project has also been removed.
Das, however, said that FDI will not flow in till the time demand for
residential housing picks up as investors will only come if the market
is good.
“While the office market has picked up, residential market is
expected to take at least 12 more months to pick up. The market is still
full of unsold inventory and till the time it gets absorbed, the sector
will remain weak,” said Das.
While the government’s decision to relax the foreign direct
investment norms in real estate last month is expected to play a
critical role in addressing the concerns on the supply side, the
recommendations of the Seventh Central Pay Commission is being termed a
potential game changer on the demand side. The pay panel proposes a
hefty salary anddwrwerfwetwepension hike for Central government employees and
pensioners.
According to experts, with the real estate market burdened with a
large volume unsold inventory, just removing the supply-side bottlenecks
won’t help as the lack of demand will keep the markets under pressure.
However, the demand might witness a surge as a higher disposable income
in the hands of a substantial chunk of the population might just
motivate investment in residential property.
A report prepared by Neelkanth Mishra, Prateek Singh and Ravi Shankar
of Credit Suisse says that the Pay Commission recommendations will have
a significant impact on the real estate cycle in small towns as more
than 80 per cent of Central government employees reside in tier II, III
cities.
The Pay Commission boost
The report analysing the impact of the recommendations point out that
as state governments and Central PSUs follow through the CPC
(recommended hike of 23.6 per cent) proposals, almost 3.4 crore
individuals (employees and pensioners) will witness increase in their
incomes. The housing and transportation sectors will be the biggest
beneficiaries of the rise in income and spending capacity of government
employees.
“Altogether
around 80 per cent of the beneficiaries would see an increase of less
than Rs10,000 per month and account for 50 per cent of the payout. The
rest would get around Rs 24,000 more every month on an average,” said
the report.
According to Credit Suisse, out of the total state and central
employees, the 6O lakh, who will see around Rs 24,000 salary increase
per month, are likely to be instrumental in lifting the housing sector
demand.
The National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO) classifies the
country’s population into 12 classes (fractiles) demarcated by monthly
per capita income.
The report states that while spending on food and transportation goes
up the most when disposable incomes rise for those between the 10th and
11th fractiles, it also pointed to the fact that as households move
from the 11th to the 12th fractile (8.3 per cent of households), the
spend on rent rises 3.1 times and there is a similar impact on home
ownership too.
“Most of this impact is likely in the smaller cities (only 20 per
cent of central government employment is in the tier I cities). The Pay
Commission recommendation, in our view, is an important milestone in the
real-estate cycle in the smaller towns, recent weakness was likely the
effect of the last pay commission fading,” said the Credit Suisse
report.
While the Centre may take six months in implementing the
recommendations, a 3-5 per cent higher increase than recommended would
take the hike in the comprehensive wage bill to Rs 4.5-4.8 lakh crore
which is expected to be spread over a period of two years starting from
June 2016 as states and Central PSUs take their decisions. “We estimate
75 per cent of the increase should occur in FY17, and the rest in FY18,”
said the report.
While the report says that impact on housing and real estate will be
substantial and lift demand, there are some who feel that the benefits
may not be huge.
“I think the Pay Commission recommendations will also be inflationary
so the actual benefit that may come to employees may only be around 10
per cent as against a hike of 23.5 per cent. And if the developers
decide to increase the price then it would be a dampener,” said Samantak
Das, chief economist & national director, Knight Frank India.
The supply side effect
While the government had, in 2005, eased the foreign direct
investment norms for real estate sector and allowed 100 per cent FDI in
townships, housing and built-up infrastructure and construction
developments, it had imposed certain conditions.
However, with ambitious targets like ‘Housing for All’ and Smart
Cities in the pipeline, what the government needs is a thriving real
estate market and thus, in November, the Centre decided to do away with
some of the restrictive conditions.
While the earlier policy required a minimum of 20,000 square meters
of development and a minimum capital of $5 million, the government has
now removed those conditions and it is expected that these will result
into higher investment flow into city-centric developments where the
condition of 20,000 square metres was a dampener.
Along with this, the need to bring in investment within six months of commencement of the project has also been removed.
Das, however, said that FDI will not flow in till the time demand for
residential housing picks up as investors will only come if the market
is good.
“While the office market has picked up, residential market is
expected to take at least 12 more months to pick up. The market is still
full of unsold inventory and till the time it gets absorbed, the sector
will remain weak,” said Das.
- See more at:
http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-news-india/7th-pay-commission-fresh-hope-for-realty-demand/#sthash.Mvokk8X7.dpuf
While
the Centre’s easing of FDI norms last month was a positive development
on the supply front, a new report says that the pay panel’s
recommendations will provide a much-needed boost to the demand side. -
See more at:
http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-news-india/7th-pay-commission-fresh-hope-for-realty-demand/#sthash.Mvokk8X7.dpuf